This episode breaks down the week’s key retail and economic developments—including interest rate uncertainty, mixed earnings results, tariff pressure, and leadership changes at Lululemon—before moving into Part 1 of a perennial favorite episode: Steve’s annual review of his retail predictions. The conversation connects current headlines to bigger retail forces, from the continued dominance of super-scale retailers to evolving technology, returns challenges, and shifting consumer behavior.
One of the most anticipated episodes of The Remarkable Retail Podcast returns as Steve Dennis reviews and grades his annual retail predictions, offering a candid assessment of how the industry actually performed as 2025 unfolded. Known for balancing optimism with accountability, Dennis evaluates where macro forces, technology shifts, and retailer execution aligned—or diverged—from expectations.
The episode opens with its regular news of the week segment, highlighting economic crosscurrents shaping retail performance. Despite multiple interest-rate cuts, housing-linked categories such as home improvement remain under pressure, with Home Depot forecasting modest growth at best. Tariffs emerge as a recurring headwind, squeezing margins for retailers like AutoZone and casting a long shadow over sourcing, pricing, and inventory strategies heading into 2026.
Then its on to Part 1 of the predictions reckoning portion.
A central theme is the continued rise of retail’s “super-scalers.” Walmart, Amazon, Costco, and a small cohort of dominant players once again captured a disproportionate share of industry growth, reinforcing the idea that scale, price leadership, and operational excellence matter more than ever in a value-constrained consumer environment. Dennis argues that this concentration is not cyclical, but structural, driven by convenience, pricing power, and omnichannel capability.